Share of the work a machine could do
A meaningful share of the workflow — transcription, translation, cataloging, document triage, literature summary — is already automating, and routine synthesis writing will follow. What resists is the judgment layer: authenticating sources, weighing conflicting evidence, framing the question, and standing personally behind an interpretation under peer review. The realistic outcome is fewer hours per discovery rather than fewer historians per discovery — with the real employment risk lying in academic budgets, not in the technology.
Scored from the tasks, not the job title. Lower is safer.
Jobs AI cannot take →