Boardroom trust
88A CEO selling the company of their career hires a person they have known for years, not a model's output; the mandate decision is emotional, reputational and personal in ways no interface reaches.
Investment Banker · The dealmaker who prices companies and moves capital — a trade running from Medici Florence to today's pitch decks, paid for trust when billions change hands.
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Two things: advise and underwrite. Advisory bankers guide companies, governments and funds through mergers, acquisitions, sales and restructurings; capital-markets bankers raise money for them by underwriting new stocks and bonds and placing them with investors. Investment bankers do not manage individuals' savings or take deposits — the day-to-day work is valuation, negotiation, documents and long client meetings.
No. A commercial banker takes deposits and makes loans; an investment banker advises on deals and underwrites securities. The two were legally separated in the United States by the Glass–Steagall Act of 1933 — which split Morgan Stanley out of J.P. Morgan — and although that wall came down in 1999, the jobs, skills and pay structures remain entirely different.
In the United States in 2024, first-year analysts typically earned around $170,000–200,000 in salary plus bonus, and managing directors from roughly $1 million to many multiples of that in strong deal years. London, Frankfurt, Hong Kong and Tokyo pay less at every level, and bonuses — the majority of senior pay — swing sharply with the deal cycle.
A bachelor's degree, almost always from a university the banks actively recruit at; finance and economics are common but not required — London desks hire historians and classicists. There is no pre-hire license: US bankers sit the FINRA Series 79 exam after joining. The MBA is a separate, later door, used mainly by career-changers entering at associate level.
Junior bankers commonly work 70–95 hours a week during live deals, including weekends; a leaked 2021 internal survey of Goldman Sachs first-year analysts reported averages around 95 hours and five hours of sleep a night. Hours moderate with seniority, and since 2024 several banks, including JPMorgan, have formally capped junior weeks at roughly 80 hours.
The presentation a bank prepares to win a mandate: valuation analysis, market context, potential buyers or targets, and the bank's credentials, often running to a hundred slides. Analysts and associates assemble them, frequently overnight. A famous irony of the trade is that most pitch books lose — banks routinely pitch many times for every mandate they actually win.
Investment banking is unusually exposed to AI at the bottom and unusually protected at the top. The analyst layer's core output — first-draft models, pitch pages, diligence summaries, market updates — is text and structured data, exactly the material generative systems handle best, and every major bank has deployed internal AI assistants since 2023. The senior layer's product is trust, judgment and accountability, which no client yet buys from software.
The likeliest future is therefore not replacement but compression: smaller analyst classes producing the same output, a steeper apprenticeship in which juniors supervise machines instead of building everything by hand, and unchanged — possibly intensified — competition for the relationship franchise at the top. The open question is where the next generation of trusted seniors comes from if the training grind that formed the current one is automated away.
A majority of current junior-banker hours go to tasks AI already performs credibly: assembling presentations, drafting first-cut models and comps, summarizing data-room documents, producing market-update materials. What resists automation is the senior franchise — winning mandates on trust, negotiating against humans, and signing regulated opinions someone must be liable for. The job survives; the pyramid beneath it narrows.
Scored from the tasks, not the job title. Lower is safer.
Jobs AI cannot take →A CEO selling the company of their career hires a person they have known for years, not a model's output; the mandate decision is emotional, reputational and personal in ways no interface reaches.
Reading the other side's constraints, timing a concession, bluffing credibly across a table — adversarial, unrepeatable situations with hidden information remain firmly human ground.
Fairness opinions, prospectus liability and licensing regimes all require an identifiable, insurable human or firm to be legally responsible; no regulator accepts a model's signature.
The most valuable deal knowledge — who might sell, which board is fracturing, what a rival bid really was — lives in conversations that never reach any dataset a model can train on.
Placing billions of new securities still runs on human networks of reciprocal trust between banks and investors, built over cycles — though electronic bookbuilding keeps eroding the edges.
Drafting standard pages — company profiles, market overviews, credential slides — is already substantially automated by internal AI tools at major banks, cutting what took an analyst a night to minutes.
Machine reading of data-room contracts, filings and financials for red flags now outpaces junior human review on speed and consistency; law and accounting firms deploy the same systems on the same deals.
Weekly sector updates, earnings summaries and deal-committee first drafts are text generation from structured inputs — precisely the workload banks report moving to AI assistants first.
Template-driven three-statement models, comp spreads and league tables build increasingly from software; the judgment calls — adjustments, normalizations, what the number implies — still get checked by hand.
Banks openly discuss smaller incoming classes as AI absorbs production work; the apprenticeship shifts from building everything by hand to supervising machine output — faster to competence for some, a lost training ground for others.
Independent advisory firms — Evercore, Centerview, PJT, Rothschild & Co — have spent two decades winning fee share from full-service banks on the argument that advice unbundled from lending is cleaner; the trend strengthens as execution work commoditizes.
With companies staying private longer and private credit passing roughly $1.7 trillion in assets by 2024, the classic IPO-and-public-M&A machine now competes with sponsor-to-sponsor deals, continuation funds and direct lending — reshaping which bankers matter.
After the 2021 Goldman analysts' leaked survey and renewed scrutiny in 2024, JPMorgan capped most junior weeks at roughly 80 hours and rivals added tracking and protected days — modest ceilings, but the first structural concessions in a generation.
Structuring loans at direct-lending funds — the fastest-growing corner of finance — using classic banking skills outside the regulated banking perimeter, often for former M&A and leveraged-finance bankers.
Advising on stakes in private funds, GP-led continuation vehicles and NAV financing: a specialty that barely existed in 2010 and now supports dedicated teams at every major advisory firm.
Raising and structuring capital for energy transition, data centers and infrastructure — the deal category behind GIP's $12.5 billion sale to BlackRock — blending project finance, policy fluency and classic coverage banking.
Building and supervising the AI systems that now draft materials and read data rooms: a hybrid banker-engineer role inside banks and the growing vendor ecosystem around M&A execution.
Three reversible lenses: augment the work, replace a slice, or open a niche. Teaching marks — not forecasts.
Keep the role; AI speeds drafts, triage, or research while judgement and accountability stay human.
A narrow task stack may compress first (templates, first drafts, routine scoring) while adjacent craft grows.
Oversight, integration, and domain QA roles can appear where AI output must be trusted in regulated settings.
The historical parallel bankers themselves cite is the trading floor: electronic execution eliminated thousands of broking and market-making jobs after the 1990s, yet the banks' revenues and their senior franchises survived by moving up the value chain. Advisory banking is now beginning the same migration — production automates, judgment concentrates, and the people paid the most are those whose names win the mandate.
The structural risk is generational. Every current managing director was formed by the grind the industry is now automating; if analysts no longer spend years inside the numbers, banks must invent new ways to grow people who can price a company from first principles and hold a boardroom. Firms that solve that apprenticeship problem will own the next era of the franchise.
What does not change is the underlying demand. Companies will keep merging, splitting, failing and raising capital, and someone trusted will stand between the parties when they do — as someone has since Florence. The seats will be fewer, the tools unrecognizable, and the product, trusted intermediation at scale, exactly what it was in 1397.
Closest neighbours on the six-score profile — not the same field only.
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AI-resistant 58 📊Finds patterns and builds predictive models from data — a 2008 job title built on three centuries of counting, testing and visualizing evidence.
AI-resistant 38 ✈️The professional flyer who turns weather, machinery and 200 lives into a routine arrival — a craft rebuilt after every crash that taught it something.
AI-resistant 72 🗺️Decides what a company should build next, and why — turning customer needs, business goals and engineering limits into one shared plan nobody else fully owns.
AI-resistant 50 🧾The keeper of the books: heir to a craft so old it invented writing itself, now negotiating with the software built to automate it.
AI-resistant 35 💱The scholar of scarcity — from Adam Smith's pin factory to the central-bank decision room, still asked to predict what no model fully captures.
AI-resistant 62The person who starts the company — spotting the gap, bearing the risk and answering for payroll, from Assyrian caravan financiers to venture-backed founders.
AI-resistant 88 🧾The keeper of the books: heir to a craft so old it invented writing itself, now negotiating with the software built to automate it.
AI-resistant 35 📣The professional who creates demand — from Pompeii's painted walls and P&G's 1931 brand-man memo to the auction-driven feeds of the digital era.
AI-resistant 38 🗺️Decides what a company should build next, and why — turning customer needs, business goals and engineering limits into one shared plan nobody else fully owns.
AI-resistant 50 💱The scholar of scarcity — from Adam Smith's pin factory to the central-bank decision room, still asked to predict what no model fully captures.
AI-resistant 62 🌿Leads the strategy, measurement and reporting that helps organizations reduce environmental and social harm while meeting business obligations.
AI-resistant 66