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Talent identification

Science

Findings, mechanisms and debates around talent identification, with evidence sized honestly.

Research on talent identification runs from Julian Stanley / SMPY (1971–) through later critiques. Mechanisms are interacting systems.

Evidence percentages below are relative judgements for this atlas, not fabricated precise statistics. Named studies keep their published bands.

Findings

Mechanisms

Evidence

SMPY / CTY longitudinal
78

Best academic-search file; access-limited.

Referral-bias research
70

Replicated enough to be policy-relevant.

Sport relative-age
80

Hard.

IQ-only as complete ID
25

Models and arts against it.

Group genetic ranking via ID tests
5

Refused.

Debates

Talent identification: size the claim to the study. Interaction, not a 50/50 slogan, is the default model.

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