Foundation stress
Early years of Euro often mixed coin shortages, war finance or fragmented note issue.
Euro · The shared currency of the euro area — second only to the dollar in reserves and FX turnover.
Every durable currency has scars. Euro's crises teach more about institutions than any calm decade.
Episodes below are historical summaries for context, not predictions of the next move.
Early years of Euro often mixed coin shortages, war finance or fragmented note issue.
War, depression or decolonisation forced convertibility changes.
High inflation tested whether the unit remained a reliable unit of account.
A defended peg or sudden float created balance-sheet damage.
Bank failures transmitted into money-market and currency stress.
GFC, pandemic or sanctions episodes transmitted through dollar funding or commodities.
Peg promises last only as long as reserves and politics allow.
FX mismatches in banks and firms turn currency moves into crises.
Surprise regime changes amplify overshoot.
Even non-dollar currencies feel US rate and liquidity cycles.
How roughly prices move in this unit.
Typical turbulence versus major peers (relative).
Dependence on foreign capital to fund deficits.
Official assets available for intervention or confidence.
How clearly markets understand the reaction function.
The world's primary reserve and invoicing currency since Bretton Woods unravelled.
Reserve weight 98 💴 JPYAsia's deep funding currency — low rates, vast government-bond market, and a major reserve holding.
Reserve weight 78 💷 GBPOne of the oldest continuously used currencies — still a top FX and reserve currency.
Reserve weight 70 🇨🇭 CHFA safe-haven franc backed by a conservative central bank and a large financial centre.
Reserve weight 55 🇨🇳 CNYChina's currency — rising in trade settlement while capital controls still shape how freely it moves.
Reserve weight 48 🇨🇦 CADA commodity-linked G10 currency with polymer notes and a floating regime since 1970.
Reserve weight 42 🇦🇺 AUDA liquid commodity currency and pioneer of polymer banknotes.
Reserve weight 40