Trend volatility is low for the old liturgies and high for how they are broadcast.
Legal friction sits mostly in the civil twin — registration — not in the font.
Cycles
- Religious revival vs secular naming days — Different countries, different decades.
- Home christenings vs cathedral theatre — Class and taste.
- Reveal-video fashions — Platform cycles, not liturgical ones.
- Adult renaming blessings — A growing extra rite.
- Privacy backlash — Some families return to small witness lists.
Signals
- Baptism statistics — Where churches publish them — rite volume, not name fashion.
- Humanist celebrant counts — Secular ceremony signal.
- Registrar wait times — The civil rite’s bottleneck.
- Platform privacy settings on baby posts — Announcement-tech signal.
Outlook
- Persistent dual system — File + theatre.
- More adult rites — Chosen names wanting witnesses too.
- No luck-future — Ceremonies will still be sold as activations; we will still refuse.
Expect more hybrid events: a clerk, a font or a humanist script, and a private link.